Trump Said He’s Bringing SALT Back. Tax Experts Say It’s Not So Easy

Former President Donald Trump has once again stirred political and financial debate by promising to bring back the full SALT deduction if re-elected. The statement, made during a recent campaign event, has quickly become a trending topic in the world of tax policy and 2024 election discourse.

But what exactly is SALT, and why do tax experts say repealing the SALT cap won’t be that simple?


What Is SALT and Why Does It Matter?

SALT stands for State and Local Tax deductions. Before the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) passed in 2017, taxpayers could deduct unlimited amounts of state and local income, property, and sales taxes on their federal returns. However, the TCJA capped the SALT deduction at $10,000, disproportionately affecting taxpayers in high-tax states like New York, California, and New Jersey.

The SALT cap has remained a hot-button issue for both Democrats and Republicans, with many high-income taxpayers advocating for its repeal.


Trump’s Promise: A Political Power Move

During a campaign rally, Trump stated:

“We’re going to bring SALT back. The middle class deserves relief.”

The former president aims to win back support from suburban voters and high-tax blue states, where the SALT cap has been particularly unpopular.

His promise to restore full SALT deductions plays well with certain voters but raises several complex economic and political challenges.


Why Tax Experts Are Skeptical

While Trump’s statement is bold, tax experts warn that eliminating the SALT cap isn’t a simple switch. Here’s why:

1. High Revenue Loss

Removing the SALT cap could cost the federal government over $80 billion per year, according to estimates from the Tax Policy Center. This would significantly reduce federal revenue and may require cuts or adjustments elsewhere.

2. Benefits the Wealthy

Data shows that more than 96% of the benefit from repealing the SALT cap would go to households earning over $200,000 annually. This could contradict populist economic messaging and raise fairness concerns.

3. Opposition Within the GOP

Many Republicans supported the SALT cap as a measure to prevent federal subsidies for high-tax, Democrat-led states. Repealing it could cause division within Trump’s own party.

4. Legislative Hurdles

Even if Trump wins in 2024, passing new tax legislation would require bipartisan cooperation or full GOP control of both chambers of Congress—no easy feat.


The 2024 Tax Debate Heats Up

With the 2024 presidential election approaching, tax policy is again taking center stage. Trump’s SALT stance may reshape campaign tax strategies, but the path forward remains full of obstacles.

If SALT is repealed, it could benefit millions of taxpayers in states like New York and California—but it could also widen the gap between tax burdens across income levels.


Conclusion

While Donald Trump vows to bring SALT back, tax policy experts warn that such a change involves significant financial, political, and legislative complexities. The debate over the state and local tax deduction will continue to be a key topic in the 2024 campaign and beyond.


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